Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.179613 0.209530 0.242343 0.280929 0.324985 0.373636 0.431349
2026-01-25 0.128457 0.168519 0.217157 0.280192 0.359323 0.454935 0.578723
2026-02-01 0.098770 0.141765 0.198140 0.276685 0.382367 0.518582 0.706196
2026-02-08 0.078842 0.122118 0.182646 0.272184 0.399668 0.572767 0.823221
2026-02-15 0.062882 0.104380 0.165901 0.261897 0.405560 0.609672 0.917820
2026-02-22 0.056599 0.099620 0.166597 0.275849 0.446196 0.697333 1.089735
2026-03-01 0.047062 0.087891 0.154655 0.268476 0.453268 0.735727 1.192046
2026-03-08 0.039029 0.077183 0.142586 0.258868 0.454987 0.765065 1.281772
2026-03-15 0.033134 0.069172 0.133743 0.253125 0.461687 0.801814 1.384830
2026-03-22 0.029757 0.065225 0.131345 0.257910 0.485986 0.868162 1.539560
2026-03-29 0.027646 0.063367 0.132410 0.268788 0.521498 0.955343 1.734362
2026-04-05 0.025138 0.060270 0.130674 0.274155 0.547454 1.027955 1.909401
2026-04-12 0.022486 0.056504 0.127284 0.276252 0.568128 1.093895 2.079530
2026-04-19 0.019969 0.052609 0.123122 0.276362 0.585100 1.154664 2.245299
2026-04-26 0.017496 0.048358 0.117602 0.272984 0.594838 1.202760 2.391411
2026-05-03 0.015286 0.044317 0.111940 0.268546 0.601845 1.245979 2.531154
2026-05-10 0.012994 0.039612 0.104091 0.258385 0.596069 1.264205 2.625078
2026-05-17 0.012493 0.039530 0.106943 0.272168 0.641211 1.383940 2.919466
2026-05-24 0.010825 0.035925 0.100851 0.264884 0.640782 1.413652 3.041543
2026-05-31 0.009270 0.032308 0.094182 0.255392 0.634494 1.430847 3.139727
2026-06-07 0.008100 0.029582 0.089368 0.249719 0.636047 1.463964 3.271564
2026-06-14 0.007507 0.028525 0.088801 0.254446 0.661668 1.548972 3.514153
2026-06-21 0.007198 0.028327 0.090541 0.265192 0.702182 1.668179 3.834338